Color Scheme

abdelmoneim Mahmoud: Iran and Trump and Netanyahu…

Iran and Trump and Netanyahu… Who Emerged Victorious? Massive human and economic losses, chaos in the Gulf, pressure on the global economy, and temporary gains for powers that know how to bear the consequences of war better than others But the harshest conclusion: In this war, there are no true winners… only losers to varying degrees #Iran #Trump #Netanyahu #StraitofHormuz #MiddleEast

Bushra Shaikh: This is what Donald Trump celebrated…

This is what Donald Trump celebrated: Nine U.S. bunker buster bombs, double tap strike, both within the space of two hours, heavily impacted B1 bridge in Karaj, Alborz. Beyond breaking international law by hitting civilian infrastructure, these strikes killed 13 Iranian civillians, of which included pregnant women and children as young as 6 months old. 250 people injured. On a day where families were picnicking below the bridge to celebrate nature day. Where is the international community? Grave war crimes and the silence is deafening.

Franz-Stefan Gady: One issue I see here is that the perception…

One issue I see here is that the perception of a transparent battlespace (IMO semi-transparent at best) paired with the notion of accelerated kill-chains is a further widening of the technical and tactical levels of warfare from the operational and strategic-political levels of warfare, which creates essentially two wars, and makes successful war termination harder. The combination creates a war-termination problem by structurally widening the gap between the technical-tactical levels of war and the operational and strategic-political levels. Precision warfare encourages planners to substitute the act of striking for a theory of how striking produces not only political but also operational-level outcomes. Transparent battlespace assumptions make this substitution feel somewhat doctrinally respectable, because if you can see everything and kill what you see, any problem appears to dissolve into a targeting problem. This could turn into a dead-end. Beyond the strike as strategy paradox Amos Fox & I outlined before, I think that adversaries will increasingly price into their military and political decision-making overwhelming inferiority in closing of kill-chains and defeat at the tactical level and adapt their force design, structure and doctrines accordingly to “ride out” this form of precision warfare and still prevail or at least not suffer defeats at the other levels of warfare.

Robin Monotti: Could attacks against Jews outside...

Could attacks against Jews outside of Israel be false flags? This Jewish Professor certainly claims so: 'Mossad carried out bombings to drive Jews out of Iraq and hasten their transfer to Israel' "British-Israeli historian Avi Shlaim has claimed in his new book to have uncovered "undeniable proof" of Israeli involvement in attacks on Jewish communities in Iraq in the early 1950s. Shlaim's autobiography, Three Worlds: Memoirs of an Arab-Jew, which details his childhood as an Iraqi Jew and subsequent exile to Israel, was published last week. According to a review of the memoir printed on Saturday in the Spectator magazine, Shlaim unveils in his book "undeniable proof of Zionist involvement in the terrorist attacks" which prompted a mass exodus of Jews from Iraq between 1950 and 1951"

Wolfgang Munchau: Why has the oil price been so...

Why has the oil price been so subdued during the crisis? We should not overthink this issue. Traders got fooled by Trump, who kept on insisting that the war would be short, and nobody wanted to bet against the president. Now that this fairy tale is getting harder to believe, markets are starting to adjust. Even in a market as efficient as this one, and contrary to what the efficient market hypothesis would suggest, markets do not take in all the available information. http://eurointelligence.com

Ben Judah: I am, like most British Jews, growing...

I am, like most British Jews, growing really frustrated with this vague talk about “division and unity and hate.” We have a very specific problem here. An IRGC cut out is recruiting disaffected Islamist-radicalised men, many long known to the police and negligently left ambling about, to a conduct a targeted intifada against the London Jewish community. And both our counter intelligence and counter terror forces are failing to intercept them. I don’t need a mass London rally of well wishers or cultural luminaires to post their wishes — nice as that is — I need an actual security strategy to clamp down on this so my community can go about our lives in peace as is our absolute minimum right. And I need politicians to call the problem for what it is — not good vibes.

Deborah Haynes: A coalition base in Iraq that...

NEW: A coalition base in Iraq that British forces are helping to defend was targeted by around 28 Iranian-linked drones and missiles a day as the US and Israel attacked Iran, it has emerged. Members of the RAF Regiment, using counter-drone missile systems, blasted more than 100 of the unmanned aircraft out of the sky during roughly six weeks of combat before a temporary ceasefire deal was agreed between Washington and Tehran in early April. It is the first time the intensity of the conflict for British troops deployed to the region on defensive operations has become clear. Sky News was given rare access to the base, which is a frontline for UK military personnel. ""I would argue this place would be a smouldering wreck if it wasn't for you guys,"" @AlistairCarns , the armed forces minister, said during a visit to the site last week along with Air Chief Marshal Sir Harv Smyth, the head of the @RoyalAirForce Full story - including how gaming skills are useful for downing drones ⬇️

Franz-Stefan Gady: Beyond operational stagnation…

'Beyond operational stagnation, atomization has removed the military’s internal safety valves and heightened the risk of an unintended kinetic clash. The purge systematically replaced an entrenched old guard, who protected the status quo to preserve their patronage networks, with an echelon of terrified successors. This dynamic grants Xi greater latitude to order troops into combat. While these new commanders possess stronger technical credentials, they lack the political capital to act as a strategic braking mechanism. Stripped of the weight to stall or manage crises privately, this atomized officer corps no longer buffers political pressure or transmits honest assessments. Xi is left to make decisions in an information environment divorced from reality.'

Dale Vince: Well, class A delusional…

Well, class A delusional - who else ever thought he was a nice guy….:) Oh and Iran had signed a non nuclear deal, which Trump broke. And have repeatedly offered another - until the latest sneak attack during negotiations, by the US led by Israel. If they, Iran, end up with a nuke we’ll all have Trump to thank. If they end up running the straight or Hormuz like it’s the Panama Canal - we’ll all have Trump to thank. So much to thank him for, we’ll get tired of thanking him..:)
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