03, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Crap News on Negotiations…

Crap News on Negotiations: Discussions within the regime revolve around when the US and Israel will strike again, in Israel, the army, in cooperation with CENTCOM, is preparing for the second round of operations, and in Washington, Trump publicly stated an hour ago that the regime's latest proposal is nonsense. Sensitive days lie ahead.

Pouria Zeraati: Crap News on Negotiations…

https://x.com/pouriazeraati/status/2051024619688116486?s=20

#WarSpillover

02, May #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important// In line with that 60-day deadline…

Important// In line with that 60-day deadline: Trump has informed Congress that the war in Iran has ended; this means that if hostilities resume, the required 60-day countdown under the "War Powers Resolution" will start anew.

#WarSpillover

29, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: The text and photo that were published…

The text and photo that were published give off a vibe of resuming attacks: 'The I.R. can't pull itself together. It doesn't know how to sign the agreement. It'd be better if it came to its senses very soon.' We'll probably soon witness the peeling away of regime officials.

#WarSpillover

25, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ It was predictable…

Important/ It was predictable; Trump has for now backed off from negotiations: 'I just canceled my representatives' trip to Islamabad to meet with the Iranians. Too much time would be spent on travel, there's a lot of work to do! On top of that, there's severe infighting and confusion within their "leadership." No one knows who's in charge, not even themselves. The winning cards are in our hands, they've got nothing! If they want to talk, the only thing they need to do is pick up the phone!'

#WarSpillover

24, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: One point…

One point: Iraqchi's negotiations with Witkoff/Kushner are unlikely to lead anywhere. In Tehran, the decision-making system is locked up, and I heard from sources in Israel that Mojtaba either doesn't respond to messages or sends vague replies. Contacting him has become significantly harder than in previous days, which means the IRGC has control in hand. The fact that the IRGC's mouthpieces are saying Iraqchi isn't going to meet with the Americans in Pakistan is also indicative of this same state of uncertainty. These conditions will likely lead to the resumption of the next round of attacks aimed at [primarily] neutralizing countermeasures. The military transfers in recent days and the arrival of the USS George Bush in the CENTCOM command area show that the threat of attack isn't just a bluff...

#WarSpillover

23, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Important/ Trump, by posting a Washington Post...

Important/ Trump, by posting a Washington Post columnist and Fox News analyst, has signaled that in the next round of attacks, those who oppose the agreement will be obliterated: "If there are two factions in the I.R. [Islamic Republic], one that wants the agreement and the other that doesn't, let's kill those who don't want the agreement."

#WarSpillover

23, April #WarSpillover

Pouria Zeraati: Trump has written that he...

Trump has written that he has ordered the U.S. Navy to target and destroy any boat that lays mines in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump has also said that American minesweeper vessels are currently engaged in clearing the strait and that their activities are set to increase even further.

#WarSpillover

20, April

Pouria Zeraati: Trump confirmed that Vance…

Trump confirmed that Vance and the negotiating team will be in Islamabad in a few hours. The IRI was supposed to go from the start anyway, it was just blustering to satisfy the hardliners that it's still unclear :)

19, April

Pouria Zeraati: Experience…

Experience: Neither should one trust Trump's "great and big day," nor the video of protests and war that he has posted. Trump is clearly after a deal, always has been. One should only count on the clerics' and IRGC's foolishness.